# More Than a Ten Percent Risk Within a Decade by Evan Hubinger > "I personally think it is >10% within the next decade." > **— Evan Hubinger**, *September 2026, probability attached to catastrophic AI outcome* ## Related Topics - [[wiki/Alignment Problem|Alignment Problem]] - [[wiki/AI Coordination Systems|AI Coordination Systems]] - [[wiki/Control Theory|Control Theory]] - [[wiki/Machine Succession|Machine Succession]] - [[wiki/OpenAI Frontier|OpenAI Frontier]] ## Share on Social Media ``` "I personally think it is >10% within the next decade." — Evan Hubinger, September 2026, probability attached to catastrophic AI outcome https://bryantmcgill.com/simple-reminders-evan-hubinger-ten-percent-within-decade ```