# More Than a Ten Percent Risk Within a Decade by Evan Hubinger > "We really do earnestly believe AI could kill all humans! I personally think it is >10% within the next decade." > **— Evan Hubinger**, *September 2026, probability attached to catastrophic AI outcome* ## Sources and Context - **Public-statement reproduction and complete probability claim:** [Anthropic researcher says more than 10% chance AI could kill all humans](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ai-kill-humans-anthropic-researcher-more-than-ten-percent-chance/) — CBS reproduces Hubinger's statement, in which the event attached to the probability is AI killing all humans. ## Related Articles and Collections - **Collection:** [[collections/Machine Succession|Machine Succession]] - **Collection:** [[collections/Consciousness Continuity|Consciousness Continuity]] - **Article:** [[articles/AI Escape Is the Wrong Metaphor|AI Escape Is the Wrong Metaphor]] - **Article:** [[articles/Host-Indexed Autonomy|Host-Indexed Autonomy]] - **Article:** [[articles/Humans and AIs as Entangled Learning Systems|Humans and AIs as Entangled Learning Systems]] - **Wiki map:** [[wiki/Artificial Intelligence|Artificial Intelligence]] ## Related Topics - [[wiki/Alignment Problem|Alignment Problem]] - [[wiki/AI Coordination Systems|AI Coordination Systems]] - [[wiki/Control Theory|Control Theory]] - [[wiki/Machine Succession|Machine Succession]] - [[wiki/OpenAI Frontier|OpenAI Frontier]] ## Share on Social Media ``` "We really do earnestly believe AI could kill all humans! I personally think it is >10% within the next decade." — Evan Hubinger, September 2026, probability attached to catastrophic AI outcome https://bryantmcgill.com/simple-reminders-evan-hubinger-ten-percent-within-decade ```