# We Overestimate Six Months and Underestimate Two Years by Samuel G. Rodriques > "We may actually overestimate what we can do in 6 months, and underestimate what we can do in 2 years." > **— Samuel G. Rodriques**, *2025, Edison Scientific announcement* ## Sources and Context - **Editorial boundary repair:** The previous readable excerpt was "we may actually overestimate what we can do in 6 months, and underestimate what we can do in 2 years.". Its initial capitalization and/or terminal punctuation is now adjusted for standalone reading; no wording or substantive qualification was added. The linked source above remains the publication audit trail. - **Full quotation and context:** [Introducing Edison Scientific](https://edisonscientific.com/news/announcing-edison-scientific) — Rodriques's launch essay supplies the complete comparison and its AI-research context. ## Related Articles and Collections - **Collection:** [[collections/Machine Succession|Machine Succession]] - **Collection:** [[collections/Consciousness Continuity|Consciousness Continuity]] - **Article:** [[articles/AI Escape Is the Wrong Metaphor|AI Escape Is the Wrong Metaphor]] - **Article:** [[articles/Host-Indexed Autonomy|Host-Indexed Autonomy]] - **Article:** [[articles/Humans and AIs as Entangled Learning Systems|Humans and AIs as Entangled Learning Systems]] - **Wiki map:** [[wiki/Artificial Intelligence|Artificial Intelligence]] ## Related Topics - [[wiki/Sam Rodriques|Sam Rodriques]] - [[wiki/Alignment Problem|Alignment Problem]] - [[wiki/AI Coordination Systems|AI Coordination Systems]] - [[wiki/Control Theory|Control Theory]] - [[wiki/Machine Succession|Machine Succession]] - [[wiki/OpenAI Frontier|OpenAI Frontier]] ## Share on Social Media ``` "We may actually overestimate what we can do in 6 months, and underestimate what we can do in 2 years." — Samuel G. Rodriques, 2025, Edison Scientific announcement https://bryantmcgill.com/simple-reminders-samuel-rodriques-overestimate-six-months-underestimate ```