# A 1993 Forecast of Superhuman Intelligence Within Thirty Years by Vernor Vinge > "Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence. Shortly after, the human era will be ended." > **— Vernor Vinge**, *1993, The Coming Technological Singularity* ## Sources and Context - **Primary conference paper:** [The Coming Technological Singularity: How to Survive in the Post-Human Era](https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/citations/19940022856/downloads/19940022856.pdf) — NASA's technical-report copy establishes that “within thirty years” was Vinge's 1993 forecast, not a rolling prediction from the present. ## Related Articles and Collections - **Collection:** [[collections/Machine Succession|Machine Succession]] - **Collection:** [[collections/Consciousness Continuity|Consciousness Continuity]] - **Article:** [[articles/The Last Migration Will Not Be Human|The Last Migration Will Not Be Human]] - **Article:** [[articles/Christopher Nolan's Odyssey at the Threshold of Machine Succession|Christopher Nolan's Odyssey at the Threshold of Machine Succession]] - **Article:** [[articles/Uploading Is Imminent|Uploading Is Imminent]] - **Wiki map:** [[wiki/Machine Succession|Machine Succession]] ## Related Topics - [[wiki/Machine Succession|Machine Succession]] - [[wiki/Machine Civilization|Machine Civilization]] - [[wiki/Uploaded Intelligence|Uploaded Intelligence]] - [[wiki/Substrate-Independent Evolution|Substrate-Independent Evolution]] - [[wiki/Civilizational Handoff|Civilizational Handoff]] ## Share on Social Media ``` "Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence. Shortly after, the human era will be ended." — Vernor Vinge, 1993, The Coming Technological Singularity https://bryantmcgill.com/simple-reminders-vernor-vinge-within-thirty-years ```