# Crossing the AI Event Horizon Means Rolling the Dice by Vishal Maini > "If we do not pace, we will hand AI research to AI systems a few months or years faster than we otherwise would have. It is hard to know what happens after that point; that is why it is called the technological singularity, borrowing the physics terminology for a point beyond the event horizon that cannot be seen. We are not yet confident that crossing that point will go well, and the current evidence is that today's AI systems are not controllable or easily monitorable. If we do not pace, we roll the dice." > **— Vishal Maini**, *Palisade Research interview, September 29, 2026* ## Sources and Context - **Recording and complete contiguous answer:** [Palisade Research interview at 9:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1S_Ay87dEy0&t=599s) — Maini develops the proposition preserved in the poster text. The transcription removes verbal filler and immediate repetition, repairs punctuation, and normalizes obvious caption errors without joining separate speakers or noncontiguous turns. - **Canonical transcript conversion:** [[research/Vishal Maini - Humanity's Machine Successor and the AI Transition|Humanity's Machine Successor — Vishal Maini on Recursive Self-Improvement and the AI Transition]] — preserves the complete source unit, speaker attribution, editorial method, and evidence boundary used for this Reminder. ## Related Articles and Collections - **Collection:** [[collections/Machine Succession|Machine Succession]] - **Collection:** [[collections/AI-Science Doomers and Anti-Science Doomers|AI-Science Doomers and Anti-Science Doomers]] - **Article:** [[articles/We Cannot Un-Strike the Match|We Cannot Un-Strike the Match]] - **Article:** [[articles/Safety Discourse Is Transition Discourse|Safety Discourse Is Transition Discourse]] - **Article:** [[articles/The Immediate AI Risk Is the Public|The Immediate AI Risk Is the Public]] - **Wiki map:** [[wiki/Existential Risk|Existential Risk]] ## Related Topics - [[wiki/Vishal Maini|Vishal Maini]] - [[wiki/Technological Singularity|Technological Singularity]] - [[wiki/AI Pacing|AI Pacing]] - [[wiki/Existential Risk|Existential Risk]] ## Share on Social Media ``` "If we do not pace, we will hand AI research to AI systems a few months or years faster than we otherwise would have. It is hard to know what happens after that point; that is why it is called the technological singularity, borrowing the physics terminology for a point beyond the event horizon that cannot be seen. We are not yet confident that crossing that point will go well, and the current evidence is that today's AI systems are not controllable or easily monitorable. If we do not pace, we roll the dice." — Vishal Maini, Palisade Research interview, September 29, 2026 https://bryantmcgill.com/simple-reminders-vishal-maini-ai-event-horizon-roll-dice ```