# Decision Under Uncertainty **Entity class:** Decision-Theory And Collection-Management Layer concept **Decision Under Uncertainty** is an evidentiary control for representing limits, error, bias, or confidence rather than silently converting inference into fact. Decision Under Uncertainty belongs in the ontology because AI can compute over this structure while analysts retain responsibility for interpretation and authorized action. ## Counterterrorism predictive-graph role The page records capability and analytic function. Any claim of a named operational deployment remains subject to the [[wiki/Counterterrorism Predictive Graph Evidence Ladder|evidence ladder]]. The analytic state should distinguish ground truth, observed evidence, inferred state, and predicted state. ## Relationships - **domain router:** [[wiki/Decision Theory|Decision Theory]]. - **ontology neighbors:** [[wiki/Expected Utility|Expected Utility]] and [[wiki/Value of Information|Value of Information]]. - **synthesis:** [[wiki/Counterterrorism Predictive Graph|Counterterrorism Predictive Graph]] and [[wiki/Predictive Intelligence Loop|Predictive Intelligence Loop]]. ## Sources - [NIST/SEMATECH — e-Handbook of Statistical Methods (accessed September 23, 2026)](https://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/) - [Oden Institute — Tan Bui-Thanh research profile (accessed September 23, 2026)](https://oden.utexas.edu/people/directory/Tan-Bui/) **As of:** 2026-09-23