# Exponential Technology **Entity class:** Technology-change concept **Domain:** Technology / Strategy **Maturity:** Developed ## Definition Exponential technology improves through compounding advances in capability, cost, scale, or adoption rather than through approximately constant increments. ## Mechanism and significance Institutions designed for linear change can recognize the trend yet still fail because their budgets, rules, and decision cycles cannot metabolize its speed. ## Relationships - **Research dossier:** [[research/ASI and RSI Timeline Research Moonshots|ASI and RSI Timeline Research Moonshots]] - **Ontology route:** [[ASI and RSI Timeline Ontology#Autonomous Warfare and Strategic Systems|Autonomous Warfare and Strategic Systems]] - **Primary fields:** [[Autonomous Weapons]] · [[AI Superpower]] · [[Machine Succession]] - **Adjacent concepts:** [[Twenty-Year Procurement Cycle]] · [[Linear Procurement]] · [[Anduril]] · [[Distributed Autonomous System]] ## Sources and provenance - [[research/ASI and RSI Timeline Research Moonshots|ASI and RSI Timeline Research Moonshots]] — immediate source for this node's role in the broadcast research map. ## Evidence boundary The research dossier establishes why this entity or concept belongs in the Moonshots ontology. Time-sensitive organizational, product, policy, and performance claims should be checked against the linked primary source or a current authoritative source before reuse as settled fact.