# Foreseeable Dual Use **Entity class:** Evidentiary and technical concept **Foreseeable dual use** is the condition in which a method's generality, demonstrated portability, and institutional environment make an additional application technically apparent and mission-relevant, even though a specific operational assignment has not been publicly documented. In the Bui-Thanh/DTRA case, foreseeable dual use is strongly indicated by the conjunction of two public records: Oden documents inverse, reduced-order, uncertainty-aware, and real-time predictive methods moving from physical systems into epidemic propagation; DTRA documents institutional work on physical and social networks, adversarial intent, individual and group dynamics associated with WMD, threat-network illumination, advanced analytics, forecasting, and counter-threat-network capabilities. Foreseeability is not proof of deployment. It is also not an accidental after-the-fact analogy. It records that a competent researcher or sponsor operating in this environment could recognize the additional application from the method's stated properties and the sponsor's stated mission. ## Relationships - **requires evidence of:** [[wiki/Documented Cross-Domain Method Transfer|Documented Cross-Domain Method Transfer]] and sponsor mission relevance. - **institutional context:** [[wiki/Defense Threat Reduction Agency|Defense Threat Reduction Agency]] and [[wiki/Cognitive and Information Science|Cognitive and Information Science]]. - **bounded by:** [[wiki/Specific Operational Application Not Publicly Established|Specific Operational Application Not Publicly Established]]. - **evaluated through:** [[wiki/Counterterrorism Predictive Graph Evidence Ladder|Counterterrorism Predictive Graph Evidence Ladder]]. ## Sources - [2019 DTRA Strategic Plan for Research, Development, Test and Evaluation](https://www.dtra.mil/Portals/61/Documents/Missions/190424_2019_DTRA_Strategic_Plan_for_RDTE.pdf) - [Basic Research for Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction — DTRA](https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/GOVPUB-D15-PURL-gpo18268/pdf/GOVPUB-D15-PURL-gpo18268.pdf) - [Oden Institute — How to Predict, Intervene, and Contain Current and Future Epidemics, October 19, 2020](https://oden.utexas.edu/news-and-events/news/CONTEXTanBuiThanh/) **As of:** 2026-09-23