# Model Half-Life **Entity class:** AI-economics concept **Domain:** Artificial intelligence / Model markets **Maturity:** Developed ## Definition Model half-life is the period over which a model's relative strategic or economic advantage materially decays as competitors improve, prices fall, and techniques diffuse. ## Mechanism and significance Short half-lives shift value from one-time model leadership toward distribution, data, infrastructure, integration, and the organizational ability to adopt successors quickly. ## Relationships - **Research dossier:** [[research/ASI and RSI Timeline Research Moonshots|ASI and RSI Timeline Research Moonshots]] - **Ontology route:** [[ASI and RSI Timeline Ontology#Model Architecture and Compute Economics|Model Architecture and Compute Economics]] - **Primary fields:** [[Machine Intelligence]] · [[AI Infrastructure]] · [[Compute Race]] - **Adjacent concepts:** [[Open-Weight Chinese Model]] · [[Frontier-Model Specialization]] · [[Organizational Intelligence Metabolism]] · [[NVIDIA B300]] ## Sources and provenance - [[research/ASI and RSI Timeline Research Moonshots|ASI and RSI Timeline Research Moonshots]] — immediate source for this node's role in the broadcast research map. ## Evidence boundary The research dossier establishes why this entity or concept belongs in the Moonshots ontology. Time-sensitive organizational, product, policy, and performance claims should be checked against the linked primary source or a current authoritative source before reuse as settled fact. ## Simple Reminders, Quotations, and Thoughts > Frontier models have increasingly short half-lives, and everyone soon gains access to the latest release. Competitive advantage therefore comes from how quickly an organization can metabolize a new model into durable capability. > **— Adapted from Peter Diamandis**, *MOONSHOTS Live, October 2026* [[reminders/AI Economy/The Advantage Is Not the Model but How Fast You Metabolize It by Peter Diamandis|The Advantage Is Not the Model but How Fast You Metabolize It by Peter Diamandis]]