# Observable State **Entity class:** Core Conceptual Layer concept **Observable State** is a concept in the core conceptual of the counterterrorism predictive-graph ontology. Used correctly, Observable State supports conditional inference and collection planning without promoting proximity, exposure, or model output into proof. ## Counterterrorism predictive-graph role The page records capability and analytic function. Any claim of a named operational deployment remains subject to the [[wiki/Counterterrorism Predictive Graph Evidence Ladder|evidence ladder]]. The analytic state should distinguish ground truth, observed evidence, inferred state, and predicted state. ## Relationships - **domain router:** [[wiki/Counterterrorism Predictive Graph|Counterterrorism Predictive Graph]]. - **ontology neighbors:** [[wiki/Latent Network State|Latent Network State]] and [[wiki/Hidden State|Hidden State]]. - **synthesis:** [[wiki/Counterterrorism Predictive Graph|Counterterrorism Predictive Graph]] and [[wiki/Predictive Intelligence Loop|Predictive Intelligence Loop]]. ## Sources - [IARPA — AGILE technical overview (accessed September 23, 2026)](https://www.iarpa.gov/images/research-programs/AGILE/AGILE_ModSim_-_Final.pdf) - [IARPA — Making Data Analysis More AGILE (accessed September 23, 2026)](https://www.iarpa.gov/newsroom/article/making-data-analysis-more-agile) **As of:** 2026-09-23