# Philip Tetlock **Domain:** Forecasting research **Doc Type:** Developed Wiki Node **Maturity:** Developed **Collection:** [[collections/Gamification|Gamification Collection]] ## Definition **Philip E. Tetlock** is a political psychologist whose research examines expert judgment, probabilistic forecasting, and methods for improving predictive accuracy. ## Significance He co-led the Good Judgment Project and helped establish forecasting tournaments as experimental and institutional tools. ## Sources - [[articles/gamification/Lex Sportiva and Winning Without Bloodshed|Lex Sportiva and Winning Without Bloodshed]] - [Primary or institutional source](https://goodjudgment.com/about/philip-tetlock/) ## Routes [[wiki/Good Judgment Project|Good Judgment Project]] · [[wiki/Aggregative Contingent Estimation|Aggregative Contingent Estimation]] · [[wiki/Base Rate|Base Rate]] · [[articles/gamification/Lex Sportiva and Winning Without Bloodshed|Lex Sportiva and Winning Without Bloodshed]]