# Probabilistic Record Linkage **Entity class:** Identity-Resolution Layer concept **Probabilistic Record Linkage** is an identity-resolution concept used to decide whether heterogeneous records refer to the same real-world entity. Probabilistic Record Linkage belongs in the ontology because AI can compute over this structure while analysts retain responsibility for interpretation and authorized action. ## Counterterrorism predictive-graph role A relationship or identity match is an evidence-bearing hypothesis with source, time, and confidence. It is not guilt by association. The analytic state should distinguish ground truth, observed evidence, inferred state, and predicted state. ## Relationships - **article-linked mechanism or framework:** [[wiki/Entity Resolution|Entity Resolution]]. - **article-linked mechanism or framework:** [[wiki/Fellegi-Sunter Model|Fellegi-Sunter Model]]. - **article-linked mechanism or framework:** [[wiki/Address-Confidence Scoring|Address-Confidence Scoring]]. - **collection route:** [[collections/The Civilian Intelligence Marketplace|The Civilian Intelligence Marketplace]]. - **counterterrorism architecture:** [[collections/Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and the Intelligence Environment|Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and the Intelligence Environment]]. - **source article:** [[articles/The Coming Market for Civilian Spycraft|The Coming Market for Civilian Spycraft]]. - **domain router:** [[wiki/Identity Resolution|Identity Resolution]]. - **ontology neighbors:** [[wiki/Fuzzy Matching|Fuzzy Matching]] and [[wiki/Entity Fusion|Entity Fusion]]. - **synthesis:** [[wiki/Counterterrorism Predictive Graph|Counterterrorism Predictive Graph]] and [[wiki/Predictive Intelligence Loop|Predictive Intelligence Loop]]. ## Sources - [NCTC — Guidelines for Access, Retention, Use, and Dissemination of United States Person Information (accessed September 23, 2026)](https://www.odni.gov/files/NCTC/documents/RelatedContent_documents/NCTCGuidelines.pdf) - [IARPA — AGILE technical overview (accessed September 23, 2026)](https://www.iarpa.gov/images/research-programs/AGILE/AGILE_ModSim_-_Final.pdf) **As of:** 2026-09-23 ## Civilian intelligence marketplace Statistical comparison estimates whether records refer to the same entity by weighing agreement and disagreement across attributes. Recency and source quality can inform address assessment, while ELITE's actual model requires its own implementation documentation. The enforcement stack connects source records, case context, prioritization, and field-facing leads. ICM organizes investigative work; ImmigrationOS adds the functions described in its procurement; ELITE supplies maps, profiles, address scores, and lead concentrations. These are complementary roles in a pipeline that helps professionals find and act with greater coverage and competence. ### Marketplace sources - [[articles/The Coming Market for Civilian Spycraft#VIII. Palantir, ImmigrationOS, ELITE, and the Contractor as Sovereign Function|The Coming Market for Civilian Spycraft — VIII. Palantir, ImmigrationOS, ELITE, and the Contractor as Sovereign Function]] — October 2026 revision; immediate source for this entry’s place in the marketplace. - [American Immigration Council, ICE to Use ImmigrationOS by Palantir.](https://www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org/blog/ice-immigrationos-palantir-ai-track-immigrants/) - [Axios, ICE Pays Palantir $30M to Build New Tool to Track and Deport Immigrants (May 1, 2025).](https://www.axios.com/local/denver/2025/05/01/palantir-deportations-ice-immigration-trump) ## Connected marketplace roles The source article connects this entry with [[wiki/Address-Confidence Scoring|Address-Confidence Scoring]], [[wiki/Fellegi-Sunter Model|Fellegi-Sunter Model]]. These routes locate the associated people, implementations, methods, and operational contexts in [[articles/The Coming Market for Civilian Spycraft|The Coming Market for Civilian Spycraft]]. **Collections:** [[collections/The Civilian Intelligence Marketplace|The Civilian Intelligence Marketplace]] · [[collections/Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and the Intelligence Environment|Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and the Intelligence Environment]].