# Spatiotemporal Prediction **Entity class:** Geospatial And Movement Layer concept **Spatiotemporal Prediction** is a conditional forecasting concept for estimating possible future states without treating probability as determination. Used correctly, Spatiotemporal Prediction supports conditional inference and collection planning without promoting proximity, exposure, or model output into proof. ## Counterterrorism predictive-graph role The page records capability and analytic function. Any claim of a named operational deployment remains subject to the [[wiki/Counterterrorism Predictive Graph Evidence Ladder|evidence ladder]]. The analytic state should distinguish ground truth, observed evidence, inferred state, and predicted state. ## Relationships - **domain router:** [[wiki/Geospatial Intelligence|Geospatial Intelligence]]. - **ontology neighbors:** [[wiki/Hotspot Analysis|Hotspot Analysis]] and [[wiki/Geospatial Intelligence|Geospatial Intelligence]]. - **synthesis:** [[wiki/Counterterrorism Predictive Graph|Counterterrorism Predictive Graph]] and [[wiki/Predictive Intelligence Loop|Predictive Intelligence Loop]]. ## Sources - [IARPA — DIVA program (accessed September 23, 2026)](https://www.iarpa.gov/research-programs/diva) - [IARPA — AGILE technical overview (accessed September 23, 2026)](https://www.iarpa.gov/images/research-programs/AGILE/AGILE_ModSim_-_Final.pdf) **As of:** 2026-09-23