# Superforecaster **Domain:** Forecasting / Collective intelligence **Doc Type:** Developed Wiki Node **Maturity:** Developed **Collection:** [[collections/Gamification|Gamification Collection]] ## Definition A **superforecaster** is a participant who demonstrates unusually high and persistent accuracy in probabilistic forecasting under scored conditions. ## Significance The label is performance-based and revisable rather than an all-domain certificate of judgment. ## Sources - [[articles/gamification/Lex Sportiva and Winning Without Bloodshed|Lex Sportiva and Winning Without Bloodshed]] - [Primary or institutional source](https://goodjudgment.com/about/philip-tetlock/) ## Routes [[wiki/Good Judgment Project|Good Judgment Project]] · [[wiki/Forecasting Tournament|Forecasting Tournament]] · [[wiki/Base Rate|Base Rate]] · [[articles/gamification/Lex Sportiva and Winning Without Bloodshed|Lex Sportiva and Winning Without Bloodshed]]